A Highly Robust And Sustained Bullish Trend Is In The Works for Bitcoin, Expert Reveals

Market impact: Moderately bullish for BTCUSD, but confirmation-dependent.

The important signal is not the analyst’s bullish label itself, but the reported combination of a move above the one-year moving average near $80,061, stronger spot and perpetual-futures buying, and a weekly close above the 50-week moving average. If sustained, this suggests that medium-term momentum and market positioning have improved after a prolonged period of weaker trend structure.

The next technical test is the reported two-year moving average near $88,761. A decisive break and hold above that area could attract trend-following demand, force bearish positions to cover, and improve sentiment across major crypto assets. The effect would likely be strongest in BTC, with potential secondary support for large-cap altcoins and crypto-related equities through higher market liquidity and risk appetite.

However, the setup is not unambiguously bullish. The article notes that leverage and profit-taking are increasing as price rises, while ETF flows remain a counter-signal. That creates a risk of a crowded upside move followed by sharp liquidation if BTC fails to consolidate above the recently reclaimed moving averages. A rejection near the two-year average would weaken the breakout narrative and could shift the market back toward range trading rather than a sustained bull phase.

Trading implication:

The immediate bias is bullish, but the medium-term thesis requires confirmation through continued spot demand, constructive ETF flows, stable or declining leverage, and acceptance above the reported $88,761 resistance zone. Without those confirmations, the move may represent momentum-driven short covering rather than the start of a durable cycle advance. Monitor ETF net flows, futures open interest and funding, liquidation activity, and whether weekly closes remain above the one-year and 50-week moving averages.