XRP Price Prediction: After A 10% Fall, Where Does XRP Bottom Post-FOMC?

Market impact: bearish near term, with a high event-risk reversal potential.

XRP’s break below the previously monitored support is technically important because it invalidates the bullish continuation structure that had targeted approximately $1.78. Unless XRP can reclaim and hold $1.65, the market is likely to treat rallies as corrective rather than evidence of a restored uptrend. The article identifies $1.10 as the first major downside zone and $0.87 as a deeper support area; these are potential locations for stabilization, not confirmed bottoms.

The immediate macro driver is the Federal Reserve decision and, more importantly, Chair Kevin Warsh’s guidance on the future policy path. A quarter-point hike appears largely priced into the article’s market framing, so the largest XRP reaction would likely come from a policy surprise or a change in expectations for subsequent rates. A hawkish message could pressure XRP through higher yields, a firmer dollar, and reduced appetite for speculative crypto assets. A less-hawkish signal could trigger short covering and a relief rebound, although the broken technical structure would remain a headwind.

For XRPUSD, the key distinction is between a temporary oversold bounce and a genuine trend repair:

• Bearish continuation: Failure to recover the broken support, followed by sustained trading below $1.10, would increase the probability of a move toward the $0.87 area.
• Constructive stabilization: Holding near $1.10 could preserve a broader recovery thesis, but would require follow-through and improving market-wide risk appetite.
• Bullish invalidation of the bearish setup: A recovery above $1.65, followed by acceptance toward $1.78, would materially weaken the downside case outlined in the article.

The move is likely to remain highly correlated with BTC, ETH, the U.S. dollar, Treasury yields, and broader crypto risk sentiment. XRP-specific recovery would be more credible if it outperformed major crypto assets after the Fed announcement; a rebound occurring only across the entire market would suggest macro short covering rather than renewed XRP-specific demand.

The principal risk to the bearish interpretation is an unexpectedly accommodative Fed communication that reverses dollar and rate expectations. Conversely, even a dovish initial reaction may fail if liquidity remains weak or if XRP cannot reclaim the broken structure. Traders should monitor the Fed statement and press conference, XRP’s response around $1.10, whether $1.65 is recovered as support, BTC’s direction, and spot-volume confirmation of any rebound.