
Fed Readies for Momentous Rate Decision
The central bank is widely expected to raise interest rates on Wednesday, less than two months before the midterm elections.
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The central bank is widely expected to raise interest rates on Wednesday, less than two months before the midterm elections.

The Fed has extended its halt of Reserve Management Purchases (RMPs), signaling a pause in recent balance sheet-driven policy easing. RMPs were initially implemented to address liquidity tightness after reserves fell below the $2.9 trillion 'ample' threshold, reversing post-QT tightening.

If the Federal Reserve hikes interest rates in an effort to slow down the rapid rise in longer-term yields, history shows it probably won't be a success.

All eyes are on the Federal Reserve decision today, as America's central bank is all-but certain to have its first hike in over 3 years with the expected move will likely strain ties with U.S. President Donald Trump. Meta's Mark Zuckaberg is weighing in on the AI safety debate, favoring independent evaluation rather than a slowdown in development, but Nvidia's Jensen Huang and OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar come down on opposite sides of the conversation.

The 10-year Treasury yield is still just above 5%, with oil retreating slightly

Gulf Oil senior energy advisor Tom Kloza discusses the market effects of the Saudi East-West pipeline shutdown and rising diesel prices on 'The Bottom Line.' #fox #media #breakingnews #us #usa #new #news #breaking #foxbusiness #thebottomline #saudiarabia #saudi #oil #energy #pipeline #diesel #fuel #gas #markets #economy #business #prices #global #middleeast #trade #commodities #inflation

As the quarter progressed, strength broadened to companies in the Industrials and Materials sectors supporting data center expansion through power generation, electrification equipment, and raw materials. During the second quarter of 2026, the Harbor Osmosis Emerging Markets Resource Efficient ETF returned 22.66%. While stock-specific factors added to performance, common factors detracted significantly.

Risk assets sold off last week as oil prices jumped to a 3-month high on escalating Middle East tensions and US core inflation surprised to the upside. The VIX Index gained 1.3 pts last week to 15.8%, with more than half of the move coming from a steepening in SPX skew and convexity.

U.S. crude inventories rise sharply, but Saudi pipeline and Hormuz disruptions support WTI and Brent, while LNG demand keeps natural gas constructive.

Long-term GDP growth trends and subdued money supply growth point to significantly lower interest rates in the coming years. Inflation fears are likely overstated, with currency in circulation growth aligning with the Fed's 2% inflation target and oil price spikes appearing cyclical.

Bloomberg Daybreak Europe is your essential morning viewing to stay ahead. Live from London, we set the agenda for your day, catching you up with overnight markets news from the US and Asia.

AI drama and jumpy treasury yields pressure tech stocks, with the Fed in play within a macro-focused tape. Salesforce, FedEx, General Mills, McDonald's, Darden Restaurants, and Sherwin-Williams are company-level stories worth watching.

Independent phone and laptop makers are redesigning products, testing incoming chips for fakes and passing on costs as a memory shortage they expect to last through 2027 squeezes the lower end of the device market.

American Action Forum president Douglas Holtz-Eakin and Evenflow Macro managing partner Marc Sumerlin discuss Federal Reserve chair Kevin Warsh's potential steps before the September meeting and the AI regulation debate on 'Kudlow.' #fox #media #breakingnews #us #usa #new #news #breaking #foxbusiness #kudlow #kevinwarsh #warsh #federalreserve #fed #interestrates #inflation #economy #economicgrowth #markets #finance #ai #artificialintelligence #technology #regulation #innovation #business #monetarypolicy #ratehike

A sustained 5%-plus 10-year yield could expose vulnerabilities in housing, commercial real estate and heavily indebted companies. Housing may feel the pressure first, as higher mortgage rates worsen affordability and freeze transaction activity.