
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Bulls test recovery momentum below key moving averages
GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Bulls test recovery momentum below key moving averages

Latest supplied price: 210.480, at the close of the 16:00 UTC candle on Friday, October 16. The data does not show trading after that candle; as the analysis timestamp is Saturday, October 17, it should not be read as a live weekend quote.
The hourly chart shows a sharp recovery from the October 14 low near 208.36, followed by a climb to 210.97 on October 16. That leaves the recent structure constructive, though the latest candles show a pause and modest pullback after the rally. The final candle closed near its low, so short-term momentum had softened at the data cutoff.
These are approximate chart areas, not guaranteed turning points.
The latest verified central-bank decisions show a still-wide UK–Japan policy-rate differential: the Bank of England held Bank Rate at 3.75% on September 17, with three MPC members voting for a hike, while the Bank of Japan’s operating-rate target is around 1.25% following its September decision. The BOJ’s next scheduled policy meeting is October 29–30. Policy expectations and any change in the outlook for either currency could affect GBP/JPY beyond the short-term chart pattern.
Overall: the rebound remains visible in the supplied hourly data, but price was pulling back from resistance by the final candle. Whether the 210.35–210.50 area holds, and how price responds near 210.85–211.00, are useful near-term structure points to watch.
| Date | Close | High | Low | Volume | Change % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | 210.4800 | 210.9670 | 209.5400 | 449,616 | +0.39% |
| 2026-10-15 | 209.6560 | 209.9590 | 208.5810 | 561,613 | +0.41% |
| 2026-10-14 | 208.8050 | 210.3040 | 208.3540 | 409,946 | -0.48% |
| 2026-10-13 | 209.8160 | 209.9290 | 208.8840 | 371,781 | +0.20% |
| 2026-10-12 | 209.4020 | 209.9840 | 209.2580 | 271,285 | -0.02% |
| 2026-10-11 | 209.5670 | 209.6110 | 208.8930 | 4 | +0.29% |
| 2026-10-10 | 209.5060 | 209.7380 | 208.6040 | 373,035 | +0.42% |
| 2026-10-09 | 209.4410 | 209.7420 | 208.6430 | 400,025 | +0.32% |
| 2026-10-08 | 208.7690 | 209.3930 | 208.1860 | 838,376 | -0.02% |
| 2026-10-07 | 208.8160 | 210.2040 | 208.6750 | 394,570 | -0.48% |
| 2026-10-06 | 209.8170 | 210.0480 | 208.5900 | 388,614 | +0.55% |
| 2026-10-05 | 208.6660 | 209.3180 | 208.2300 | 519,868 | -0.10% |
| 2026-10-04 | 208.6770 | 209.1770 | 208.1610 | 114,436 | -0.19% |
| 2026-10-02 | 208.8770 | 209.1030 | 207.7050 | 585,509 | +0.17% |
| 2026-10-01 | 208.5150 | 210.0010 | 207.5820 | 1,197,472 | -0.10% |
| 2026-09-30 | 208.7290 | 208.9040 | 206.8810 | 503,038 | +0.32% |
| 2026-09-29 | 208.0680 | 208.7590 | 207.8720 | 491,629 | -0.21% |
| 2026-09-28 | 208.5080 | 208.9890 | 207.6690 | 541,721 | +0.21% |
| 2026-09-27 | 208.2490 | 208.5960 | 207.8850 | 101,906 | +0.08% |
| 2026-09-25 | 208.3040 | 210.0000 | 208.0010 | 556,393 | -0.77% |
| 2026-09-24 | 209.9150 | 210.1470 | 208.7670 | 1,018,228 | +0.20% |
| 2026-09-23 | 209.5030 | 210.1800 | 209.4230 | 443,216 | -0.21% |
| 2026-09-22 | 209.9350 | 210.8970 | 209.5060 | 453,820 | -0.13% |
| 2026-09-21 | 210.2110 | 210.7660 | 209.6770 | 393,574 | +0.16% |
| 2026-09-20 | 210.2660 | 210.7570 | 209.7070 | 9,583 | +0.02% |
| 2026-09-18 | 210.0800 | 211.2730 | 208.1890 | 499,901 | +0.84% |
| 2026-09-17 | 208.3240 | 209.1010 | 207.8650 | 977,334 | -0.32% |
| 2026-09-16 | 208.9940 | 209.4760 | 208.3280 | 451,209 | -0.01% |
| 2026-09-15 | 209.0190 | 209.2260 | 208.2340 | 541,793 | +0.36% |
| 2026-09-14 | 208.2760 | 208.7660 | 207.4190 | 682,461 | +0.33% |
| 2026-09-13 | 207.4960 | 207.9170 | 207.3000 | 11,161 | -0.06% |
| 2026-09-12 | 207.7710 | 208.9050 | 207.2840 | 563,817 | -0.28% |
| 2026-09-11 | 207.5880 | 208.9130 | 207.2910 | 589,174 | -0.48% |
| 2026-09-10 | 208.5870 | 208.8790 | 207.7620 | 997,168 | +0.32% |
| 2026-09-09 | 207.9200 | 208.4650 | 207.3910 | 609,758 | -0.23% |
| 2026-09-08 | 208.4090 | 209.0550 | 207.0920 | 480,313 | -0.25% |
| 2026-09-07 | 208.9250 | 211.2170 | 208.6380 | 432,022 | -0.86% |
| 2026-09-06 | 211.1410 | 211.1870 | 208.6600 | 98,979 | -0.01% |
| 2026-09-05 | 211.3010 | 211.8120 | 209.7030 | 615,494 | +0.25% |
| 2026-09-04 | 211.1100 | 211.8150 | 209.7570 | 635,309 | +0.22% |
| 2026-09-03 | 210.6480 | 214.3220 | 209.9580 | 1,610,608 | -1.52% |
| 2026-09-02 | 213.8980 | 216.5870 | 213.6840 | 531,962 | -1.17% |
| 2026-09-01 | 216.4240 | 216.8340 | 216.3080 | 370,879 | +0.03% |
| 2026-08-31 | 216.3520 | 216.8420 | 216.0770 | 463,918 | -0.07% |
| 2026-08-30 | 216.4190 | 216.8450 | 215.9760 | 5 | +0.10% |
| 2026-08-29 | 216.5480 | 217.0510 | 216.3330 | 365,761 | -0.03% |
| 2026-08-28 | 216.5660 | 217.0550 | 216.3320 | 393,899 | -0.01% |
| 2026-08-27 | 216.5830 | 216.7670 | 216.2560 | 800,434 | +0.04% |
| 2026-08-26 | 216.5040 | 217.3330 | 216.5040 | 440,715 | -0.31% |
| 2026-08-25 | 217.1860 | 217.4740 | 216.7130 | 313,030 | +0.19% |
| 2026-08-24 | 216.7780 | 217.1720 | 216.2240 | 534,000 | +0.10% |
| 2026-08-23 | 216.9180 | 217.0698 | 216.4920 | 92,018 | +0.09% |
| 2026-08-22 | 216.7870 | 217.1050 | 216.4500 | 369,448 | +0.01% |
| 2026-08-21 | 216.8140 | 217.1070 | 216.4530 | 390,820 | +0.04% |
| 2026-08-20 | 216.7240 | 216.9040 | 214.9750 | 872,644 | +0.73% |
| 2026-08-19 | 215.1520 | 216.0710 | 214.8210 | 457,470 | -0.35% |
| 2026-08-18 | 215.9100 | 216.2150 | 215.7650 | 362,821 | +0.03% |
| 2026-08-17 | 215.9760 | 216.1090 | 215.7160 | 63,326 | +0.06% |
| 2026-08-17 | 215.8380 | 216.1590 | 215.4030 | 290,461 | +0.13% |
| 2026-08-16 | 215.6040 | 215.7590 | 215.4550 | 65,702 | -0.03% |
| 2026-08-16 | 215.6040 | 215.7590 | 215.4550 | 65,702 | -0.03% |
| 2026-08-14 | 215.5750 | 215.8990 | 214.8750 | 342,065 | +0.26% |
| 2026-08-14 | 215.5750 | 215.8990 | 214.8750 | 342,065 | +0.26% |
| 2026-08-13 | 215.0210 | 215.1800 | 214.7810 | 766,770 | -0.02% |
| 2026-08-13 | 215.0210 | 215.1800 | 214.7810 | 766,770 | -0.02% |
| 2026-08-12 | 215.0670 | 215.3840 | 214.5260 | 313,029 | +0.02% |
| 2026-08-12 | 215.0670 | 215.3840 | 214.5260 | 313,029 | +0.02% |
| 2026-08-11 | 215.0300 | 215.2280 | 214.7590 | 337,914 | -0.03% |
| 2026-08-11 | 215.0300 | 215.2280 | 214.7590 | 337,914 | -0.03% |
| 2026-08-10 | 215.0990 | 215.2520 | 212.5890 | 320,193 | +1.07% |
| 2026-08-10 | 215.0990 | 215.2520 | 212.5890 | 320,193 | +1.07% |
| 2026-08-09 | 213.3330 | 213.5839 | 212.5870 | 61,937 | +0.21% |
| 2026-08-09 | 213.3330 | 213.5839 | 212.5870 | 61,937 | +0.21% |
| 2026-08-08 | 212.8840 | 213.2630 | 211.4200 | 469,355 | -0.06% |
| 2026-08-07 | 212.7960 | 213.2660 | 211.4310 | 516,263 | -0.16% |
| 2026-08-07 | 212.7960 | 213.2660 | 211.4310 | 516,263 | -0.16% |
| 2026-08-06 | 213.1410 | 213.3030 | 212.2190 | 696,484 | +0.36% |
| 2026-08-06 | 213.1410 | 213.3030 | 212.2190 | 696,484 | +0.36% |
| 2026-08-05 | 212.3790 | 212.5570 | 211.6970 | 386,143 | +0.15% |
| 2026-08-05 | 212.3790 | 212.5570 | 211.6970 | 386,143 | +0.15% |
| 2026-08-04 | 212.0710 | 212.3330 | 210.9400 | 616,859 | +0.50% |
| 2026-08-04 | 212.0710 | 212.3330 | 210.9400 | 616,859 | +0.50% |
| 2026-08-03 | 211.0140 | 212.9810 | 209.5590 | 600,528 | -0.47% |
| 2026-08-03 | 211.0140 | 212.9810 | 209.5590 | 600,528 | -0.47% |
| 2026-08-02 | 212.5820 | 212.8830 | 209.5960 | 227,078 | -0.07% |
| 2026-08-02 | 212.5820 | 212.8830 | 209.5960 | 227,078 | -0.07% |
| 2026-07-31 | 212.5090 | 216.3460 | 212.4310 | 937,930 | -1.02% |
| 2026-07-31 | 212.5090 | 216.3460 | 212.4310 | 937,930 | -1.02% |
| 2026-07-30 | 214.7050 | 218.6820 | 212.3280 | 1,268,700 | -1.68% |
| 2026-07-30 | 214.7050 | 218.6820 | 212.3280 | 1,268,700 | -1.68% |
| 2026-07-29 | 218.3710 | 218.5570 | 217.1570 | 419,900 | +0.32% |
| 2026-07-29 | 218.3710 | 218.5570 | 217.1570 | 419,900 | +0.32% |
| 2026-07-28 | 217.6760 | 217.9920 | 217.4500 | 367,171 | +0.08% |
| 2026-07-28 | 217.6760 | 217.9920 | 217.4500 | 367,171 | +0.08% |
| 2026-07-27 | 217.4990 | 218.5190 | 217.4720 | 351,695 | -0.35% |
| 2026-07-27 | 217.4990 | 218.5190 | 217.4720 | 351,695 | -0.35% |
| 2026-07-26 | 218.3940 | 218.5190 | 218.0110 | 74,374 | +0.10% |
| 2026-07-26 | 218.3940 | 218.5190 | 218.0110 | 74,374 | +0.10% |
| 2026-07-24 | 218.1800 | 218.4740 | 217.9660 | 335,819 | +0.05% |
| 2026-07-24 | 218.1800 | 218.4740 | 217.9660 | 335,819 | +0.05% |
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