Amazon: This Is Not The Time To Be Greedy (Downgrade)

Amazon.com, Inc. has scaled a $3 trillion valuation milestone; the market is finally convinced with its AI strategy and its massive backlog that has reached $500 billion as of Q2. AWS's AI and chip businesses now boast a combined $50 billion annualized run rate, corroborating its ability to monetize AI. Free cash flow margins are expected to remain negative through 2027–2028 as CapEx surpasses $220 billion in 2026, but backlog visibility underpins confidence in future monetization.