How Bi-Modality Is Percolating Up Into Macro Markets

Last month in this forum I alluded to “canaries” in the coalmine (see here) , referring to the high implied volatility on options of stocks like Micron (MU) and SpaceX (SPCX). One working hypothesis was that assisted by leverage (both direct and via ETFs that provide this leverage) the market is currently amplifying “bi-modality”, which basically means a schizophrenic pricing of return outcomes that differ significantly from each other- akin to the outcomes of a coin flip.