Radian Group: The Rare Time Diversification Does Not Pay Off (Rating Downgrade)

Radian Group completed its Inigo acquisition to diversify into specialty insurance, aiming for global multi-line exposure beyond US mortgage insurance. Q2 2026 earnings missed expectations due to $169.2 million in Inigo loss provisions tied to the Middle East conflict, creating near-term uncertainty. Mortgage insurance performance also weakened, with higher combined ratios and persistency rates falling to their lowest since Q3 2022.