
Home-Building Is Sputtering, but Lumber Prices Haven't Been So High in Years
Steep duties on Canadian lumber, wildfires and sawmill closures have cut supply and pushed up prices.
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Steep duties on Canadian lumber, wildfires and sawmill closures have cut supply and pushed up prices.

Iran said it reached an agreement with Oman on a proposed route for shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a potential step toward a reopening of the critical waterway for energy supplies. Both sides have been talking for days about how to manage the Strait.

Thomson Reuters Corporation (TRI:CA) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Roundhill Investments' DRAM ETF targeting the memory trade has been a breakout hit in 2026 amassing close to $25 billion since April, and it is now betting that the photonics boom due to AI data center optical networking innovation will be another investable theme. Goldman Sachs projects that the total addressable market opportunity for optical networking will grow more than nine times over through 2028, from an estimated $15 billion to an estimated $154 billion, and Nvidia has been investing billions into photonics companies.

A dramatic turnaround in technology stocks has powered a $3.5 trillion increase in the Nasdaq 100's market capitalization in just four days, driven by strong earnings that have emboldened investors about the AI outlook. The tech benchmark has jumped 9.3% over this period, its sharpest rally since April 2025.

Cementos Pacasmayo remains a Buy, driven by Holcim's pending tender offer and potential delisting at a premium. CPAC trades at a $1.03B market cap, while Holcim's acquisition valued equity at $1.15B, implying a possible 10% upside. Operational improvements—volumes up 8–13% YoY, record EBITDA margins, and $100–110M cash-based net income—provide a margin of safety.

A slew of strong corporate profits sent stocks to fresh all-time highs, with the market also rising as President Donald Trump said a deal on the Strait of Hormuz is possible as early as Wednesday. While equities pared earlier gains, the S&P 500 headed toward its longest winning streak since June.

Match Group faces persistent declines in its payer base, with only Hinge showing growth that fails to offset Tinder's losses. I maintain a sell rating on MTCH, as recent Q2 results reinforce concerns over shrinking users and limited success from AI-driven initiatives. MTCH's ambitious AI and Tinder redesign efforts appear risky, with little evidence they will reverse user attrition or drive meaningful revenue growth.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing traded higher during the quarter after reporting strong results and guidance ahead of consensus expectations. Intuit declined after reporting lower-than-consensus-expected growth in its DIY tax franchise, driven primarily by top-of-funnel and price-sensitive consumers. We saw a favorable risk-reward opportunity to initiate a position in Capital One Financial in a high-quality financial franchise with meaningful long-term growth potential.

With the markets notching new highs, Nate Peterson and Kasey McCurdy join Sam Vadas to make sense of the momentum fueling recent performance. Nate says "everything about this market is tied into earnings.

Eli Lilly shares move higher after strong weight-loss drug sales. Toy Story 5 was a big hit for Walt Disney.

BlackLine offers a compelling value opportunity after a ~40% YTD decline and industry-low valuation multiples. I advocate rotating into small- and mid-cap value names like BL, especially as investors move away from AI infrastructure trades. BL's Q2 results were healthy, but shares dropped ~5% due to unchanged full-year growth guidance despite improved margin and EPS targets.

Salad and Go has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, saying that the cyclospora outbreak worsened its existing business challenges. The upstart salad chain aimed to take on Sweetgreen and expanded rapidly under the ownership of Volt Investment.

Energy Transfer raises its 2026 EBITDA outlook as gas demand, NGL exports and late-year projects build a stronger growth runway into 2027.

Prudential Financial has outperformed, but with shares above my $115 target, I am moving to a 'Hold' rating. PRU's Q2 results were strong: EPS beat by $0.56, net investment income rose 10%, and actuarial assumption updates were favorable. PGIM delivered robust margins and earnings, but persistent passive competition and muted net flows temper long-term optimism.