
The Stock Market Party Has Yet to End. But Rising Bond Yields Might Be the Unwanted Guest.
Bank of America's August Fund Manager Survey shows big stock allocations and creeping bond market concerns.
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Bank of America's August Fund Manager Survey shows big stock allocations and creeping bond market concerns.

Goldman Sachs will buy commercial real estate investor LCN Capital Partners for as much as $410 million, the Wall Street bank said on Tuesday.

Prediction markets platform Novig has reported over $125 million in notional trading volume in its opening week. The platform's first week volume surpassed Kalshi and Polymarket U.S.'s opening week volume for sports contracts, as well as those of Underdog and DraftKings' proprietary prediction markets exchange, DKeX, according to data calculated from Novig.

Idemitsu Kosan , Japan's second-largest oil refiner, has begun sourcing Saudi crude from Yanbu via the Suez route and the Cape of Good Hope and sees no near-term threat to stable supplies, helped by UAE crude routed via Fujairah and imports from North America, its president said on Tuesday.

AI infrastructure investment is surging, with Nvidia (NVDA) and major financiers mobilizing over $500B via compute-backed financing platforms. Debate intensifies over the durability of the AI boom, with risks of a credit-driven bubble and systemic event if AI compute ABS proliferates.

Goldman Sachs is rated a 'buy' due to scale, deal flow leadership, and a resilient capital formation cycle. GS's Q2 net revenues rose to ~$20.34Bn, with 23.5% ROE and $6.63Bn net earnings, driven by Global Banking & Markets strength. Valuation is mildly attractive: fair value averages $1,065.49, a ~2.45% undervaluation, with excess return models supporting upside.

Chip stocks spent just 21 days in bear market territory. But that's where the good news ends on Tuesday.

New Mountain Finance remains a 'Buy' despite a 22% dividend cut and a 24% portfolio contraction year-over-year. The dividend reset to $0.25 per share restored dividend coverage to 104% in Q2, mitigating immediate payout sustainability concerns. NMFC's discount to NAV has not widened since my last coverage, indicating the market already priced in the dividend reduction.

U.S. 30-year Treasury yield (US30Y) has surged to 5.33%, its highest since 2007, reflecting rising concerns about government debt and inflation. Strategists and analysts question whether 30-year bonds offer sufficient safety at current yields, citing vigilance over inflation and fiscal risks.

Concerns about inflation and more debt supply is hitting the fixed income sector.

International government bond yields followed U.S. Treasury yields higher on Tuesday. Various bonds issued by governments across the globe saw their yields hit multi-decade highs.

Tuesday saw yields on U.S. 30-year Treasury yields add over 1 basis point to trade at around 5.322%, hovering just below its highest level since 2002.

Long-dated Treasurys sell off again

Diesel buyers are competing for shrinking supply amid disruptions in Russia and the Middle East, with the U.S. at the center of a scramble that could intensify into the winter.

Sea Limited is structurally undervalued, with an 18% upside to my $141/share fair value estimate. SE's diversified model—Shopee, Monee, and Garena—drives sustainable growth, with 32%+ five-year revenue CAGR and expected FY2026 revenue of $31 billion. CEO Forrest Li's owner-operator mindset and operational excellence underpin SE's rapid turnaround and margin expansion potential.